Relatively speaking this Nor’easter will be a weak one. The winds will be strong and the rain will be heavy, but the tides will be fairly tame based off the latest. As predicted the low formed yesterday over the deep south. It moved up along the southeast coast last night, and is now sitting over coastal North Carolina. Heavy rain had pushed up ahead of it.
Notice that while we had heavy rain (yellow/orange), there was sleet and freezing rain (purple) to our west. The area of low pressure will keep moving north/northeast. It will likely be sitting just offshore of Virginia Beach this afternoon.
Winds will pick up this afternoon. They may whip up even more as the low begins to push away, but we’ve already had a couple gusts to 40mph. We are under a wind advisory for cities/counties along the coast as well as some adjacent ones.
Winds will be running out of the northeast at 10-20 mph inland and 20-30 near the shore. Gusts will be 35-40mph inland and 40-45mph near the shore. Hold on to the umbrellas and be careful driving over the bridges today. Temperatures will be stuck in the 40s.
With the winds staying up through the day, the tide will rise a bit. Luckily the natural tide is in a lower phase. So we are only looking at nuisance type flooding with barely minor tidal flooding in a few areas. Here’s the forecast for Sewell’s Point:
Now tidal flooding is different from flooding from heavy rain. We may see some localized flooding today. Ponding on roads and a few flooded streets will be a problem in several cities. The rain will add up through the day. So this may be more of an issue during the evening commute. Hopefully, the rain decreases by then. Future Trak may be showing signs of this. At least for part of the area.
Rain will end by about 9-11pm tonight. We are talking about a solid 1-2 inches of rain. I think we’ll see a little less between the Middle Peninsula up to the Northern Neck. Keep that in mind when look at the Future Trak forecast.
The good news is that we are still looking at a nice weekend. High pressure will build in. Skies will be mostly/partly sunny tomorrow with highs in the upper 50s. We will have a west/northwest breeze, but it won’t be as strong as today. A dry/weak cold front will move through the area Saturday evening. So we’ll cool down a bit on Sunday, but we’ll look to stay dry. Highs will be closer to 50.
We will warm up nicely early next week. Highs will be in the 60s. Then by the end of the week, we’ll see a return of colder weather. Some models even hint at some wintry weather by next Friday. Highs will be in the 40s and maybe 30s for 1-2 days. Maybe they’ll change their tune before we get there. Until then…have a good weekend. I’ll be at the Mcdonald Garden show on Sunday up in Hampton.
Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler