Tired of the Rain?

July 5th, 2015 at 10:37 pm by under Weather

Are you tired of the rain? I know I am. As a meteorologist, I feel like we have been talking about rain and storms almost everyday for the past 2-3 weeks. We had a very wet June and we don’t need anymore rain right now. Most fireworks celebrations went on as scheduled last night, but some were cancelled or postponed due to the storms that moved across the region. Showers and storms developed south of the cold front today, mainly across the Southside and North Carolina. These storms sent out outflow boundaries, which allowed for additional storms to develop and some of them to merge. When that happens, you can get very slow moving storms. Plus we have a lot of moisture in place, so any storm will be an effective rain producer. When you have a slow moving storm that is producing very heavy rain, you can get localized flooding rather quickly. Most of the heavy rain has fallen across our western zones as I’m writing this…Sussex County, Southampton County, Gates County, NC, Franklin and Suffolk tonight. Now the storms are starting to move northeast, so I think the rest of the Southside and the Peninsula will get hit with some very heavy rain and lightning before midnight. Make sure you roll up your car windows and bring in anything you don’t want to get wet.

Future Trak at 12 AM

Future Trak at 12 AM

After midnight, the heaviest rain will be impacting the Eastern Shore and computer models indicate that another round of heavy rain could move into our western zones again from the southwest. That front will go stationary tonight, so we could wake up to a few morning showers tomorrow. A warm front will move northward across Virginia tomorrow and winds will shift out of the southwest. That is why it will be hotter with highs in the upper 80s to around 90°. We will have better chances for scattered showers and storms tomorrow afternoon as an upper level disturbance moves across the region.

Future Trak at 12 PM Monday

Future Trak at 12 PM Monday

Rain will be hit or miss again tomorrow, so it’s not worth cancelling any of your outdoor plans. Just pay attention to the sky and download the WAVY Weather app, so you can track the rain on Super Doppler 10 radar. A stray shower/storm will be possible on Tuesday, but I think most areas will stay dry. High pressure will try and build in by the middle to end of the week, so I think overall,  this week will be drier. It will also definitely be HOTTER with highs in the 90s almost everyday this week.

Forecast Highs This Week

Forecast Highs This Week

I will have a full update on the storms coming up on WAVY News 10 at 10 on FOX43.

12:00 AM Update:

Computer models are hinting that another round of heavy rain and storms could move in between now and 4 AM. I think there will still be some rain in North Carolina at this point.

Future Trak at 1 AM

Future Trak at 1 AM

But I don’t think these storms will be as loud or as strong as before. I just want to thank everyone who shared their storm pictures with us. Here is a great lightning shot captured by Dan in Deep Creek.

Deep Creek Lightning

Deep Creek Lightning

Unfortunately, lightning struck a house near Smithfield and started a fire earlier this evening. Here is the story from wavy.com. Meteorologist Jeremy Wheeler will have a full update on WAVY News 10 Today starting at 4:30 AM.

 

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona

 

 

 


Star-Spangled Showers

July 4th, 2015 at 8:59 am by under Weather

First off, Happy 4th of July everyone!!

I wish I could say it was going to be rain-free this weekend..

..but we meteorologists are in the business of sales, not management.  (Although forecasting has come a long way since 1776….)

We will be tracking a mix of sun and clouds across Hampton Roads and northeast North Carolina.  It’s going to be a seasonably warm and humid Independence Day, so make sure you stay hydrated and wear loose, light-colored clothes that reflect the sunshine!

4th of July Planner

4th of July Planner

The oceanfront was PACKED with people yesterday, and I’m sure it’ll be busy again today!  If you’re heading to the beach, the UV Index will be very high, so make sure you baste yourself in the SPF and keep basting throughout the day!

Beach Forecast

Beach Forecast

There will be a low risk for rip currents along the Eastern Shore through Buckroe Beach into Virginia Beach, however, there will be a moderate risk for rip currents along the Outer Banks stretching from Corolla, through Nags Head, down to Hatteras.  After recent reports, you may be thinking about sharks in the water, but don’t let that deter you….after all, a shark fell from the SKY in Virginia Beach last week!  It’s true!  Click here for the story!

From sharks to showers..  After 3 PM, we’ll start to see some spotty showers and storms developing.  DON’T cancel any outdoor plans you have, just keep an eye on the radar and be prepared to go indoors if you hear thunder or see lightning.

Future Trak Forecast - 5 PM

Future Trak Forecast – 5 PM

Some places will be lucky enough to stay dry, whereas others will be tagged with the raindrops.  At this point, we don’t anticipate any strong or severe storms, but on these hot and humid day, we always keep an eye on things!

Future Trak Forecast - 9 PM

Future Trak Forecast – 9 PM

Our Future Trak Forecast shows some showers around at 9 PM when fireworks will start lighting up the sky.  Just so you know, fireworks CAN go off if there is light rain, but fireworks could be postponed or cancelled if there is any lightning in the area.  So Mother Nature just needs to keep the lightning at bay between 9-10 PM.  Click here for a list of fireworks displays across Hampton Roads.

Fireworks Forecast

Fireworks Forecast

If you’re heading out to see some fireworks tonight, bring an umbrella and something dry to sit on….just in case!

It’s a rinse and repeat forecast for Sunday – partly cloudy with afternoon/evening thundershowers.  There will be more of an onshore breeze tomorrow, so it will be a few degrees cooler!

Have a happy and safe 4th.. I’ll see you early tomorrow morning!

-Meteorologist Ashley Baylor

As a WWE fan, I’d like to see a fireworks display choreographed to this song!!!!


Waterspout! And 4th Of July Weekend

July 3rd, 2015 at 8:12 am by under Weather

First off!  Wow!  There were two great shots of the weather in the last 24 hours.  First off… there was a waterspout yesterday on the Chesapeake Bay.  This was a photo taken from the view of the Eastern Shore:

Waterspout

Waterspout

Thanks Savanna Smith for taking this.  Hopefully, it was through a telephoto lens.  I didn’t see any reports of damage, but had that moved onto land….

The second cool shot came this morning from our tower cam over at Lynnhaven Inlet.

Sun On Towercam

Sun On Towercam

I apologize, but I just thought this was one of the coolest sunrise shots that I’ve ever seen .  (It did have a little more color on the actual image).  It’s just the way that the sun shone through the clouds with the brighter colors above it.  It looked like a background scene from a science fiction movie or even a UFO.  (Relax…it’s just the sun).  Still it was very cool.

So there were storms yesterday afternoon in the region.  They continued into the evening.  Then they pushed out by this morning.  A cold front did move into the area.  Now it has stalled out right on top of us.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

With the front in place we will be cooler across most of the region. Highs will be in the low/mid 80s with some upper 70s on the Eastern Shore and Northern Neck.  It will still be in the mid-upper 80s south of the front.  Mainly over northeast North Carolina.  Winds will be northeast at 5-10mph.  We did have a few showers pop up this morning along the Albemarle sound, but the rest of the region should be pretty good through midday.  We’ll see more scattered showers and storms developing towards the late afternoon into the evening.  Here is what Future Trak shows for 5 pm today.

Future Trak (5pm Today)

Future Trak (5pm Today)

There will be lesser chances of rain over the Middle Peninsula, Northern Neck, and Eastern Shore.  These areas are north of the front and a little closer to the area of high pressure.  Showers and storms will continue (and increase) into the evening for all of the area.  So we could see this disrupt a few fireworks tonight.  The rain will keep going overnight, then should subside by tomorrow morning.  For Saturday the front will lift north just a bit.  This will A. Warm things up and B.  give us some more scattered showers and storms.  It won’t rain the whole time.  We’ll see better chances for rain in the afternoon and evening.

Future Trak (Sat. Afternoon)

Future Trak (Sat. Afternoon)

Unfortunately, this means that the 4th of July fireworks may be delayed in some cities.

Future Trak (Sat. Eve.)

Future Trak (Sat. Eve.)

The front will actually drift back south on Sunday.  So some more showers are possible with a slight cool down.  These showers should be on the move.  So perhaps if you get some rain in the morning, then you will have a drier afternoon and vice-versa.  A little bit of troughing in the upper levels will continue to give us some scattered showers and storms on Monday and Tuesday, but they should mainly be in the afternoon.  At least the high temperatures will stay in the 80s for the next few days.  So that will be nice.  All-in-all the weekend won’t be a washout, but the occasional showers will surely bum out many people with outdoor plans.   Regardless…have a great weekend!

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler


Wet Holiday Weekend And…Why So Red?

July 2nd, 2015 at 8:50 am by under Weather

There is some good news and bad news in the forecast.  The good news is that we will be a lot milder for temperatures over the next few days.  The bad news is that the chance for rain looks to continue into the weekend.   This morning there were already some scattered showers in the region.  A cold front was slowly pushing south through Washington D.C.

Satellite/Radar

Satellite/Radar

The front will settle into the region today.  Between that, the clouds, and the rain the temperatures will be held down.  We’ll be in the low/mid 80s with a few upper 70s possible north of the metro.  So it will be very nice to get a break from the heat. Keep in mind that the humidity will still be up through.  That will help the showers to form this afternoon. Winds will be variable at 5-10mph.  Scattered showers and storms will increase between the mid afternoon into the evening.

Scattered Showers

Scattered Showers

There will be some thunderstorms, but the chance for severe weather looks low.  The strength of any storms really depends on how thick the clouds stay through the afternoon.  They are very thick this morning.  There should be ample cloud cover through the day, but it may break up in a few places.

The cold front will become stationary right over our region tomorrow.  This will continue our rain chances.

Tomorrow's Forecast

Tomorrow’s Forecast

Expect on and off showers tomorrow.  There may be a decent stretch of time in-between showers.  That will depend on where the front actually sets up shop though.

Future Trak Tomorrow

Future Trak Tomorrow

Our Future Trak model focuses the showers more south, but the other models (NAM, GFS) spread the rain over the entire area.  They also show a weak area of low pressure that will form along the front.  This could help to enhance the rainfall.  Also an upper level trough will also aid in making rain. High temps will again be held down into the low/mid 80s.

The front will still lie over the region into Saturday.  This will give us some more scattered showers and storms.  However, the models do kick out the low.  So it’s possible that there will be less coverage.  The models are not in good agreement on when the rain chances will drop on Saturday.  Midday? Afternoon? Evening?  But they do show a decrease at some point on Saturday.  For now I’m only calling for some spotty showers for Saturday evening.  So I’m (slightly) optimistic about no rain during the fireworks, but not overly.  Stay tuned for updates.

Some scattered showers will linger into Sunday and Monday, but the chances should be much lower for those days.  I’m thinking isolated to scattered showers and storms for those days.  Highs will be in the mid 80s.

Another feature in the atmosphere lately has been some unusual redness.  It has affected sunsets, sunrises, and the color of the moon.  This is what I’m talking about:

Red Moon

Red Moon

Take a look at that moon!  It was very red shortly after moonrise.  The reason for the extra redness is actually due to some wildfires in Canada.  The smoke from these wildfires has traveled about 2,000 miles into our region.

Smoke Has Traveled

Smoke Has Traveled

This will not affect conditions at the surface.  It is up tens of thousands of feet.  The smoke/ash creates more diffusioin of the light.  This aids in enhancing the red colors.  Hopefully, the clouds break for a bit so that we can witness some more beautiful images.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler

 


Cooler/Wetter Weather Ahead!

July 1st, 2015 at 8:04 am by under Weather

Storms were a little rough last night over (some) of the area.  As expected they formed over central Virginia/North Carolina.  Then they moved east during the evening.  Here was the view around 11:30pm last night.

Radar Last Night

Radar Last Night

The storms did produce some severe weather.  There were 2 reports of wind damage.  One in Gloucester county, and one in Gates county NC.  There was also a wind gust reported in Newport News that was over 60mph.

Storm Reports

Storm Reports

There were also some reports of small hail over the Middle Peninsula, but it was sub-severe (less than 1″).

Now things have quieted down.  High pressure is nudging back in from the east.

Satelltie/Radar

Satellite/Radar

The winds will be turning out of the southwest today, and they will run at 10-15mph.  This will keep up the heat and humidity.  So highs will be in the low/mid 90s with a heat index in the mid-upper 90s.  There may be an isolated shower or storm late in the day, but they should be pretty isolated.  This will continue into the evening, but we won’t see storms like we did yesterday evening.

By tomorrow there will be some changes.  The cold front off to the west will slowly settle into the region.  This will increase the rain chances in the afternoon and evening.  It will also help to drop the temps.

Tomorrow's Forecast

Tomorrow’s Forecast

Highs will be in the 80s both tomorrow and Friday.  The cold front will stall out over the region.  So we’ll basically see on and off showers and storms from late Thursday through late Friday.

Future Trak (5pm Thursday)

Future Trak (5pm Thursday)

Then the front should fall apart.  We could see about 1-3″ of rain in the region within that time.  A few cities could see more.  By Saturday there will still be some scattered rain showers and storms, but they won’t be as widespread.  Highs will be in the 80s.   On Sunday there will be a few showers and storms, but the chance will drop even more.  At this time it looks like a 40% chance for Saturday and a 30% chance for Sunday.  That could change, and we’ll be able to be more specific with the timing by tomorrow.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler

 

 


Stormy Night Ahead!

June 30th, 2015 at 9:24 pm by under Weather

Showers and thunderstorms will continue to develop tonight and will likely impact Hampton Roads between now and 1 AM. The stronger storms will be capable of producing damaging wind gusts in excess of 60mph, quarter size hail, frequent lightning and heavy rain. Before going to bed tonight, you may want to bring in any trash cans or loose yard furniture that could get blown around in a storm. Don’t forget to roll up your car windows too! The storms that rolled across the Middle Peninsula around rush hour produced some pea size hail in the Gloucester Courthouse area and some dime size hail in Dutton. Thank you Lacie for sending in this picture of hail.

Facebook Picture

Facebook Picture

Susan sent in this picture of the storm in Gloucester. You can tell the wind is blowing by looking at the trees and the waves on the water. Plus she captured a rainbow among all the beauty! Thanks Susan! Remember you can always email us your storm or damage photos at reportit@wavy.com or you can post them on our social media pages.

Gloucester Storm

Gloucester Storm

The main cluster of showers and storms has weakened a little bit since sunset, but is still rather strong as it moves east at about 25-35mph. Our computer model has the showers and storms moving toward the metro around 10 PM.

Future Trak at 10 PM

Future Trak at 10 PM

Then the rain becomes a little bit more widespread across the region around midnight. Hopefully the lightning and thunder won’t keep you awake too late tonight.

Future Trak at 12 AM

Future Trak at 12 AM

The rain should come to an end shortly after midnight as temperatures drop into the mid 70s by tomorrow morning. More heat and humidity is back in the forecast tomorrow and for the rest of the week. Temperatures drop into the 80s Thursday and Friday as rain chances increase, but it will still feel like the 90s when you factor in the humidity.

Temperature vs. Heat Index

Temperature vs. Heat Index

I will be on-air tracking the storms on WAVY News 10 at 10 on FOX43 and WAVY News 10 at 11. See you then!

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona

 


Hot & Spicy With Some Evening Storms

June 30th, 2015 at 8:35 am by under Weather

Sorry.  The weather won’t really be spicy today (maybe a bit soupy), but I’m already tired of saying hot and humid.  So I wanted to mix it up a little.  AND… it’s only June 30th.  Anyway, today will be hotter by about 8-12 degrees.  A warm front has lifted north of the region, and the cold front is hundreds of miles to the northwest.

Warm Sector

Warm Sector

We are in the warm sector with a wind out of the south/southwest at 5-10mph.  Highs will be in the low-mid 90s.  However, the heat index will be in the upper 90s during peak heating.  As we get into the evening, there will be a windshift line that will come over from western Virginia/North Carolina.  This will give us a chance for some clusters of thunderstorms. They will be isolated this afternoon, but the chance will be higher in the evening.  At this time the chances look like this:

3pm: 20%

6pm: 30%

9pm: 50%

11pm: 60%

The timing may change since we are talking about a relatively small scale feature.  Here is what Future Trak shows at 11pm tonight:

Future Trak (11 pm)

Future Trak (11 pm)

Some of these storms could be strong to severe with strong gusty winds the main threat.  So check back on the weather.

Tomorrow the windshift line will be offshore.  High pressure will resume.  Highs will be in the low 90s again.  We may pop off some isolated pm t’storms, but the chance doesn’t look too high.  The cold front will move into the region on Thursday and will stall out.  Highs will be in the 80s on Thursday and Friday, but the rain chances will go up.  It especially looks like it will be very wet on Friday.

Scattered storms still look possible on Saturday for the 4th of July.  I’m hoping it’s just a few scattered showers and storms in the afternoon, but a few may linger into the evening.  There will probably be less of a chance on Sunday.  We’ll be updating the forecast before we get there.  Stay tuned.

Before I go.  I wanted to talk about a brief astronomy subject.  You may have noticed recently that in the western sky after sunset that there are two bright stars fairly close together.  This is actually two planets.  Jupiter and Venus.   They will be very close together over the next couple of nights.  It might be tough to see it this evening with the clouds and scattered storms.  Maybe tomorrow.  Here’s a story with more details: Venus and Jupiter.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler


No Strings Attached! And…Another Drought Region?

June 29th, 2015 at 8:33 am by under Weather

It’s a miracle!  (I use that term very loosely).  Today is nice out, and it will stay nice for the entire day.  No strings attached!

Tower Cam

Tower Cam

High pressure is in control.  We started the day with low in the 50s and 60s.  We’ll warm up to the low/mid 80s this afternoon. There is a cool front that is stalling out just south of the Outer Banks.

Stationary Front

Stationary Front

This may kick off some isolated showers and storms over the southern Outer Banks.  I guess that could be declared a string.   Anyway…meanwhile the rest of the region will have a dry/pleasant day. Winds will be variable at 5-10mph.  By tomorrow the wind will be more out of the southeast.  This will let the humidity increase and the heat build a bit.  The front will lift north as a warm front.  This may kick off some isolated showers and storms later in the day.  Highs will be in the low 90s.  Temps will cool down a bit by Thursday/Friday, but the rain chances will increase.  The GFS model has some rain in the forecast for the 4th of July (late day).  It’s still a bit early.  So don’t fret just yet.  I’ll have an update on the weekend forecast tomorrow.

Last week I wanted to put this story in the weather blogs, but there was just too much going on.  I talked a lot about the California drought, and I mentioned the Alaska situation.  Today I wanted to add another really bad drought area (Puerto Rico).  They are even starting to ration water for some residents.  Apparently not only has there been a bad drought, but it’s possible that poor water storage may be adding to the water woes.  Here is the story with more info: Puerto Rico Drought!

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler

 

 


Great Start To The Work Week!

June 28th, 2015 at 9:30 pm by under Weather

We told you it would be a 50/50 weekend and it most certainly was. It was a rainy and stormy Saturday and you can find a recap on yesterday’s severe weather here. But the weather was 100% better today! Highs were in the low to mid 80s, humidity levels were lower and there was plenty of sunshine. A perfect beach day in my opinion! The good news is that another beautiful day is in the forecast tomorrow. The bad news is that the 90° heat will be returning soon.

Let’s talk about tonight first…Pleasant evening expected as lows drop into the mid to upper 60s by Monday morning. A perfect night to open those windows! Expect a mix of sun and clouds tomorrow afternoon with highs in the mid 80s. Humidity levels will go up just a little bit. The cold front that moved through this morning has stalled out across North Carolina, so a few showers/storms will be possible across the Outer Banks late tomorrow afternoon.

You knew the pleasant weather couldn’t last for long…temperatures and humidity levels will be increasing this week.

Warm-Up This Week

Warming Up This Week

To give you some perspective on humidity levels…today we had dew point temperatures in the upper 50s and lower 60s. Tomorrow, dew points will be in the low 60s and then get close to 70° by the middle of the week.

Dew Point Forecast

Dew Point Forecast

The weather pattern hasn’t changed much in the past week or so. There has been a large upper level trough sitting across the eastern half of the U.S. Since this trough isn’t moving, fronts that initially move through the region, then stall out over us for a few days keeping the chance for rain in the forecast. Then when you add more heat, humidity and pieces of upper level energy, rain and storm chances increase and so does the chance for severe weather.

The next chance for rain for us is on Tuesday. There is a very slight chance for a stray afternoon storm, but I think we will have better chances for showers and storms Tuesday night, maybe even a few strong storms across our western counties. Here is what our Future Trak computer model has late Tuesday night/early Wednesday morning.

Future Trak 12 AM Wednesday

Future Trak 12 AM Wednesday

Enjoy the somewhat “cooler” weather tomorrow (that is….if you can call highs in the 80s cooler) because we crank up the heat on Tuesday!

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona


Stormy Saturday, Spectacular Sunday

June 27th, 2015 at 9:09 pm by under Weather

It was a busy Saturday afternoon in the Weather Center. Showers and thunderstorms started popping up after 12 PM. The clouds thinned out, allowing that sunshine to help destabilize the atmosphere even more. I was watching a storm that developed over the Virginia/North Carolina line before coming into work. This storm was the only game in town at the time, so it had plenty of instability and moisture to work with. This storm intensified and produced several funnel clouds across portions of eastern Chesapeake and Virginia Beach. Here is a closer look at the circulation between 2-2:30 PM. The circulation was observed right in that notch around North Landing and then continued to push north toward Princess Anne and Farm Bureau Live.

Radar From Earlier

Radar From Earlier This Afternoon

Here are some of the pictures of funnel clouds that were sent into reportit@wavy.com or posted to our Facebook page. Our traffic anchor, Jen Lewis, sent this picture in near Fentress. You can’t see how low the cloud got to the ground because of the trees in the background, but it is a definite lowering.

Funnel Cloud

Funnel Cloud

This picture of a funnel cloud near Fentress was taken by David Feldman. We haven’t heard any reports of the funnel cloud reaching the ground.

Funnel Cloud

Funnel Cloud

We did have some damage reports come into the WAVY newsroom from Virginia Beach after this storm moved through that area. There were reports that trees fell on 2 homes and reports that 2 homes were struck by lightning. Luckily there were no injuries. We also received reports of localized street flooding, many coming in from Hampton and Newport News. Here is what Andrews Boulevard in Hampton looked like after 20 minutes of rain. Thank you to Rabbitt Smith for posting this to our Facebook page.

Street Flooding in Hampton

Street Flooding in Hampton

So…what can we expect for the rest of the night? Well, the tornado watch has expired and the severe weather threat is winding down across the region. The rain we saw earlier has stabilized the atmosphere. We are waiting for a cold front to move into Hampton Roads. This front is currently located across the western half of the state. We will keep the rain chances in the forecast overnight until the front moves in early tomorrow morning. We have plenty of moisture in place, so we could still see some heavy downpours, but I don’t think we will see any severe weather overnight. So you should be able to sleep through the night! :)

Future Trak at 12 AM

Future Trak at 12 AM Sunday

There may be a few lingering showers out ahead of the front early tomorrow morning.

Future Trak at 5 AM Sunday

Future Trak at 5 AM Sunday

All of the rain should move out by 8 AM and the clouds will clear out shortly after that. Highs will be in the mid to upper 80s, but the humidity levels will be lower, so it will feel great outside. Perfect day to hit the beach or do anything outdoors! Enjoy the rest of your weekend!

**Thanks again to everyone who sent in their storm/damage photos to reportit@wavy.com or posted their photos on our Facebook page. Our web team has put all of the photos in a slideshow for you to view on wavy.com.

-Meteorologist Tiffany Savona